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Tuesday, October 3rd 2006

10:58 PM

Iran Nuclear Reactor Future and the World Divided On Whether Iran Has the Right to Uranium Enrichment Part II

Iran This, Iran That, Iran-STFU! MAIL CALL http://rleeermey.org/viewtopic.php?p=136329

Calculating the Risk of War in Iran
by F. William Engdahl

The basic facts - January 29, 2006 - GlobalResearch.ca
 
First the basic facts as can be verified. The act by Iran’s President, Ahmadinejad, announcing the resumption of suspended work on completing a nuclear fuel enrichment facility along with two other facilities at Natanz, sounded louder alarm bells outside Iran than his inflammatory anti-Israel rhetoric earlier, understandably so. Mohamed El Baradei, Nobel Peace prize winning head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the UN body, has said he is not sure if that act implies a nuclear weapons program, or whether Iran is merely determined not to be dependent on outside powers for its own civilian nuclear fuel cycle. But, he added, the evidence for it is stronger than that against Saddam Hussein, a rather strong statement by the usually cautious El Baradei.

The result of the resumption of research at Natanz appears to have jelled for the first time, a coalition between USA and the EU, including Germany and France, with China and even Russia, now joining in urging Iran to desist. Last August President George Bush announced, in regard to Iran’s announced plans to resume enrichment regardless of international opinion, that ‘all options are on the table.’ That implied in context a nuclear strike on Iranian nuclear sites. That statement led to a sharp acceleration of EU diplomatic efforts, led by Britain, Germany and France, the so-called EU-3, to avoid a war. The three told Washington they were opposed to a military solution. Since then we are told by Der Spiegel and others the EU view has changed to appear to come closer to the position of the Bush Administration.
 
It’s useful briefly to review the technology of nuclear fuel enrichment. To prepare uranium for use in a nuclear reactor, it undergoes the steps of mining and milling, conversion, enrichment and fuel fabrication. These four steps make up the 'front end' of the nuclear fuel cycle.

After uranium has been used in a reactor to produce electricity it is known as 'spent fuel,' and may undergo further steps including temporary storage, reprocessing, and recycling before eventual disposal as waste. Collectively these steps are known as the 'back end' of the fuel cycle.

The Natanz facility is part of the ‘front end’ or fuel preparation cycle. Ore is first milled into Uranium Oxide (U³O , or ‘yellowcake,’ then converted into Uranium Hexaflouride (UF6) gas. The Uranium Hexaflouride then is sent to an enrichment facility, in this case Natanz, to produce a mix containing 3-4% of fissile U235, a non-weapons-grade nuclear fuel. So far, so good more or less in terms of weapons danger.

Iran is especially positioned through geological fortune to possess large quantities of uranium from mines in Yazd Province, permitting Iran to be self-sufficient in fuel and not having to rely on Russian fuel or any other foreign imports for that matter. It also has a facility at Arak which produces heavy water, which is used to moderate a research reactor whose construction began in 2004. That reactor will use uranium dioxide and could enable Iran to produce weapons grade plutonium which some nuclear scientists estimate could produce an amount to build one to two nuclear devices per year. Iran officially claims the plant is for peaceful medical research. The peaceful argument here begins to look thinner.

Nuclear enrichment is no small item. You don’t build such a facility in the backyard or the garage. France’s large Tricastin enrichment facility provides fuel for the nuclear electricity grid of EdF, as well as for the French nuclear weapons program. It needs four large nuclear reactors, just to provide over 3000 MWe power for it. Early US enrichment plants used gaseous diffusion. Enrichment plants in EU and Russia use a more modern centrifuge process that uses far less energy per unit of enrichment. The latter or centrifuge process is also the Iranian type.

To make weapons grade Uranium requires more than conventional civilian electric power grade uranium fuel.

‘Unmaking’ weapons grade uranium today is also a geopolitically interesting process, not irrelevant to the current dispute over Iran. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, under agreements designed to insure that the Soviet nuclear arsenal would be converted to peaceful uses, military weapons uranium came on to the civilian market under a US-Russian agreement.

Today more than half of all the uranium used for electricity in the USA nuclear power plants comes from Russian military stockpiles. Currently 20% of all electricity produced in the US is nuclear generated meaning that Russian uranium fuels some 10% of all US electricity.

In 1994 a $12 billion contract was signed between the US Enrichment Corporation (now USEC Inc) and Russia's Techsnabexport (Tenex) as agents for the US and Russian governments. USEC agreed to buy a minimum of 500 tonnes of weapons-grade uranium over 20 years, at a rate of up to 30 tonnes/year beginning 1999. The uranium is blended down to 4.4% U-235 in Russia. The USEC then sells it to its US power utility customers as fuel. In September 2005 this program reached its halfway point of 250 tonnes or elimination of 10,000 nuclear warheads.

Worldwide, one sixth of the global market of commercial enriched uranium is supplied by Russia from Russian and other weapons-grade uranium stocks. Putin has many cards to play in the showdown over Iran’s nuclear program.

The issue of whether Iran was secretly building a nuclear weapon capability first surfaced from allegations by an Iranian exile opposition group in 2002.

Natanz has been under IAEA agency purview since suspicions about Iran’s activities surfaced. It was prompted by reports from an Iranian opposition organization, National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), and led IAEA head Mohamed El Baradei to tour Iran’s nuclear facilities in February 2002, including the incomplete plant in that city of Natanz about 300 miles south of Tehran. The NCRI is the political arm of the controversial People's Mujahedeen of Iran, which both EU and US governments officially brand terrorist but unofficially work with increasingly against the Teheran theocracy. - Possible Iranian strategy - The Israeli options - The Russian factor in Iran  - The China factor in Iran - EU relations with Iran - The Bush Administration role in Iran - AIPAC and Abramoff impact Washington - CONPLAN 8022 - Geopolitical risks of nuclear war - At that point there are several possible outcomes

http://www.irandefence.net/showthread.php?t=1113

http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.p... rticleId=1841

"With its references to just and peaceful rule, and to the restoration of deported peoples and their gods,
the Cyrus Cylinder has been seen as the earliest charter of human rights."
 
Nuclear Testing Images http://www.batguano.com/nuclear/nucgallery.html
 

http://www.batguano.com/nuclear/12.jpg

Nuclear Weapons History - Mushroom Cloud Picture Gallery - Atmospheric Nuclear Explosion Pictures

http://www.zvis.com/nuclear/nukimgs.shtml

Operation Crossroads: Bikini Atoll - This exhibit contains the works of three artist who where there to witness the event http://www.history.navy.mil/ac/bikini/bikini5.htm

                                                    Operation Crossroads

During Operation Crossroads from May to July 1946, the fifth Saratoga (CV-3) and fourth Independence (CVL-22), former CV & light cruiser Amsterdam, CL-59, the 22nd aircraft carrier of the United States Navy, accompanied with other war surplus ships of the U. S. Navy were placed at ground zero or a distance away during the atomic bomb tests conducted at Bikini Atoll” (Ref. 618).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Crossroads

“Following Operation Crossroads, the atomic bomb tests conducted at Bikini Atoll, USS Shangri-la (CV-3 made a brief training cruise to Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, returning to Puget Sound Naval Shipyard, Bremerton, Washington, remaining during the winter months of 1946” (Ref. 1-Shangri-la & 72).

“The highly radioactive hulk of USS Independence (CVL-22) was later taken to Pearl Harbor, Hawaii and San Francisco, Calif. for further test after her final atomic bomb tests during Operation Crossroads at Kwajalein, Bikini Atoll Marshallese: Kuwajleen) is part of the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI)” (Ref. 1- Independence & 72).

Destroy Iran’s Might and prevent a depression and save lives, and I don't mean NUKE EM. The fact is, if we don't do something quickly our nation will bankrupt itself. Our dependence on oil, Iran's threat to the world in which were part of last time I checked demands quick action. The government of Iran must go, there military might destroyed by our 41 subs deployed and lets bring our troops home once the insurgents find themselves without funds to rearm. There are a 1,000 reasons to do away with the government of Iran and there mlitary might and then let there 70-million minus a million people spend the next twenty years rebuilding a peaceful society and if they don't, well in 2046 will give em another round. The fact is, that when Iran one day transports spint fuel and sludges to Russia, they will be highjacked, there will be a dirty bomb in the hands of those that want us dead and the world to end.

As I see it a deck has five cards, insurgents backed by Iran used there Jack to open, when they spent 6 years arming, killing, kidnapping solders and launching rockets.

Iran's first Ace appeared when the head of those critters wasn't killed

Second Ace appeared when a Cease Fire commenced without disarming those critters, giving them a chance at there own government spreading hate and discontent.

Third Ace - NUKES - cancel enrichment and prove it and we will go back to two Aces and if they want to keep the first Ace alive, they will have to be peaceful working on the second Ace.

Until the 31st its high stakes poker, because the fourth Ace means Iran wins a prize.............

Bush brands Iran leader a 'tyrant' (Rightfully so, I think)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20060905/pl_afp/usirannuclearpolitics_060905185045  

Bush brands Iran leader a 'tyrant'  - Sep 5, 2006 yahoo news, AFP

US President George W. Bush branded Iran's president a tyrant and compared leaders in Tehran to Al-Qaeda terrorists who cannot be allowed to acquire nuclear weapons. "America will not bow down to tyrants," he said in the second of a series of election-year speeches defending his handling of the war on terrorism and Iraq. "The world's free nations will not allow Iran to develop a nuclear weapon." Bush accused Iran of funding the Lebanese Shiite militia Hezbollah and other groups "to attack Israel and America by proxy" and said Hezbollah was second only to Al-Qaeda in the number of US citizens it has killed.
"Like Al-Qaeda and the Sunni extremists, the Iranian regime has clear aims. They want to drive America out of the region, to destroy Israel, and to
dominate the broader Middle East," said the US president.

But, he said, Shiite extremists have done something Al-Qaeda only dreams of by taking over Iran in 1979, "subjugating its proud people to a regime of
tyranny and using that nation's resources to fund the spread of terror and to pursue their radical agenda."

"The Iranian regime and its terrorist proxies have demonstrated their willingness to kill Americans, and now the Iranian regime is pursuing
nuclear weapons," said Bush.

The US president quoted Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as saying, in an August 15 speech, "If you would like to have good relations with the Iranian nation in the future, bow down before the greatness of the Iranian nation and surrender."

"If you don't accept to do this, the Iranian nation will force you to surrender and bow down," he quoted the Iranian leader as saying.

"America will not bow down to tyrants," he replied.

"Like Al-Qaeda and the Sunni extremists, the Iranian regime has clear aims. They want to drive America out of the region, to destroy Israel, and to
dominate the broader Middle East," said the US president.

NOT JUST DRIVE US OUT, BUT DESTROY US, AND TURN US INTO MUSLIMS ! THIS HAS TO BE STOPED !

With Iraq seeking Iran's security help makes me think we need to bring our soldiers home. I guess if you can't stop em over there, you must join them so you can at least have one side stronger then the other in their Civil War.

What are we doing? Iraq is basically back stabbing us or maybe it's not our problem. It could be the biggest bully on the block should rule the bullies in the Middle East. I'm for blowing up Iran’s Nuclear Reactors in route from Russia on Iran's soil before they are installed. If that pisses them off, then their military is next.

Sanctions are a joke. They don't need to transport oil over the high seas to China or Russia and they can sell anything on the Internet, using any form of shipping.

We need to decide once and for all are we going to fight the war on terror or not? Because if were not, then bring or soldiers home, strengthen our boarders (300 mile fence verses 2,000-miles is another joke), bunker in and help our allies by providing SUB and B 52 Bomber support and fighters from 9 carriersTHEY will still end up with a dirty bomb. What a drag. The worlds future in Irans hands

There was a time I too was peaceful in regards to Iran, a country bent on destroying anyone who stands in there way or maybe they will stop at Israel if the U. S. abandonees our brothers and sisters for the better good of the Middle East as the Iran Presidents states.

Maybe it's time to mind our own business and show the world we don't need there oil by once and for all becoming independent and it can be done. A few examples at the end of this Thread and or check out EQNEEDF Renewable Energy Letter or Independence from Middle East Oil.:

EQNEEDF RENEWABLE ENERGY LETTER http://community.fox6.com/forums/thread/761121.aspx

Independence from Middle East Oil through expanded Renewable Energy Technologies http://community.fox6.com/forums/thread/876199.aspx

Heck Americas for sale, anyway Chinas got a big peace. Our country likes throwing money away, lets buy those Russia Reactors their selling to Iran. On second thought, wouldn't it be cheaper to just wait tell they trasport it and either highjack it or blow it up.

Maybe we can let Iran have world inspectors observe the transit of the spent fule and the sludges from the metals they will one day use developing space age products and the like.

We got a lot of problems. Those there critters only know tuff love I'm afraid to say.

These guys ain't got no guns:

The group of six say they will hold off on any action until after an August 31 report by the U.N. nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), that will judge whether Iran has halted enrichment-related activity or not.

Big mistake - once the door opens, light gets heavy, advancement, larger plants, etc. spint fuel is spint fuel, light or heavy, its highly containmated waste
World powers have offered Iran light water reactors and a guaranteed supply of nuclear fuel in return for a halt to its sensitive enrichment and reprocessing activities.

But Iran says as a signatory to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) it has a right to nuclear enrichment and to produce its own fuel.

The heavy water reactor's plutonium by-product can be used for making atomic warheads but Iran insists its nuclear programme is purely peaceful and aimed only at generating energy.

Unlike light water plants, heavy water reactors do not need enriched uranium fuel in order to function. But even in a light water electricity plant the uranium need only be enriched to 3.5-5 percent, well short of the level needed to produce a nuclear bomb.

Another target I guess

Iran's first nuclear power plant is currently under construction with Russian help in the south and it is expected to be operational by the end of 2007.

The million dollar question. Will Russia Back there play. The Russia guy on tv said "We can sell weapons to anyone we want just like the US does" and when asked, Will we be at war with Russia one day, "No"

That shows you we could buy them off.

Think about it, it would have been cheaper if we bougth that 3.6 billion 53 helicoper pacakage in stead of our south america enemy.

Buy the Russians off and Destroy the threat.

MILITARY TARGETS AS I SEE IT:

The international concerns about Iran’s nuclear weapons program has largely arisen from Jafarzadeh’s stunning revelations about 7 major previously secret nuclear sites, including the sites in Natanz, Arak, Karaj, Ab-Ali, and Tehran.

Jafarzadeh revealed the existence of Natanz uranium enrichment facility, and Arak's heavy water facility in August 2002, Ab-Ali centrifuge testing facility near Tehran in February 2003, two additional nuclear sites near Karaj in May 2003, and two other new nuclear sites in Kolahdouz military complex in Tehran, and Ardekan in July 2003. He unveiled the details of Iran’s development of bio-weapons in May 2003, and had previously provided valuable information about the Shahab-3 medium range missile.

On April 27, 2004, Jafarzadeh revealed information that Iran, using some 400 nuclear experts, is now running a secret nuclear weapons program supervised by the military and the Supreme Leader parallel to their overt nuclear energy program. Jafarzadeh had previously unveiled in March, a secret meeting held earlier by Iran’s senior officials where they decided to speed up their nuclear weapons program, while faking cooperation with the IAEA.

March 24, 2005, Jafarzadeh revealed that Iran has actually built a secret underground facility in Tehran’s Parchin military complex where activities related to laser enrichment is carried out.

Biography: Alireza Jafarzadeh http://spcwashington.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=32& Itemid=43

Alireza Jafarzadeh is the president of Strategic Policy Consulting, Inc. He is also a FOX News Channel Foreign Affairs Analyst.

Iran's first nuclear power plant is currently under construction with Russian help in the south and it is expected to be operational by the end of 2007.

IF YOU NEED DIRECTIONS THEN BUY ONE OF THESE:

GARMIN GPS IRAN Products

http://gpsworldsupply.com/gps_world_supply.php?step=category&catNum=12 &OVRAW=iran%20map&OVKEY=iran%20map&OVMTC=standard

While you are reading this, the Iranian reactor produces enriched bomb-grade uranium. Terrorists can deliver that bomb to your city, and it can kill you and your children. Yet the government does nothing.

Do we demand violence? Not in any common sense. Similarly, police use force to arrest criminals in order to stop violence.

But Iran is not a criminal? Wrong. Iran has proven malicious intent. Iran, under the current regime, conducted many terrorist bombings in the West, and sponsors deadly terrorists. Iranian leaders repeatedly called for fight against the United States and annihilation of Israel.

Perhaps Iran needs nuclear weapons for self-defense? No. Iran already bullies the Middle East with its huge conventional army. No country threatens Iran.

Since the eighth-century jihad and the Ottoman army at the gates of Vienna, the West has never been exposed to such threat. Iran’s several nuclear bombs can inflict more damage on America than the World War II. Never before the Islamic fundamentalists who hate the West and dream of attacking it had military might of apocalyptic dimensions. Are you crazy to doubt they will use the bomb?

We call on the United States: Do not hesitate. Protect your people. Protect your allies. Destroy the Iranian reactor!

To sign the petition, visit http://terrorismisrael.com/nuclear_iran.htm

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